How to Answer “How do interest rates affect valuation multiples?” in Investment Banking Interviews
In investment banking interview prep, this is a common valuation multiples interview question because it tests whether you can connect macro inputs (rates) to valuation mechanics (discount rates, growth, and comparables).
When interviewers ask, “How do interest rates affect valuation multiples?” they’re looking for a clean directionally correct answer and the underlying drivers: what changes in a DCF, what changes in market pricing, and why the impact can differ by sector and company profile.
What Interviewers Test: Interest Rates Impact on Valuation
Interviewers use this prompt to check whether you can translate a macro variable into valuation outcomes without hand-waving. At an analyst level, that means linking interest rates to WACC, to discounting in a DCF, and then to how investors are willing to pay a certain multiple of earnings/cash flow.
They’re also testing structure under pressure: can you separate effects on the denominator (discount rate / required return) from effects on the numerator (cash flows via demand, margins, and leverage)? Strong candidates explicitly state the “base case” intuition (rates up → multiples down), then qualify it with the key offsets.
Finally, this is one of those investment banking technical questions where judgement matters: the answer isn’t “always X.” Interviewers want you to mention duration (long-dated growth vs near-term cash flows), capital structure and refinancing risk, and how comps may move even if fundamentals lag.
Valuation Multiples Explained: A Step-by-Step Answer Framework
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Step 1: Lead with the headline relationship and define the multiple
Start by stating the typical directional impact: higher interest rates generally compress valuation multiples; lower rates tend to expand them. Then define what you mean by “multiples” so your answer stays grounded—e.g., EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, P/E.
Bridge to first principles: a multiple is a shorthand for a present value relationship. For EV/EBITDA-type multiples, the market is implicitly capitalising a stream of future cash flows; if the required return increases, the present value falls, and the multiple usually falls.
Keep it crisp: one sentence for direction, one sentence for intuition, then note you’ll break it into (i) discount rate/WACC channel and (ii) cash flow and sentiment/comps channel. That framing is often what distinguishes “valuation multiples explained” from a generic macro answer.
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Step 2: Explain the discount-rate channel (DCF and WACC mechanics)
Walk through the impact of interest rates on DCF valuation: the risk-free rate is a building block for the cost of equity (via CAPM), and higher base rates often raise the cost of debt as well. Together, these typically increase WACC.
In a DCF, a higher WACC does two things: (1) it reduces the present value of explicit forecast cash flows and (2) it often has an even larger effect on terminal value because terminal value is “long duration.” That’s why long-growth businesses (more value in later years) tend to see bigger multiple compression when rates rise.
Add one important nuance: rates moving up can coincide with changes in equity risk premium or credit spreads. In practice, “all-in discount rate” can move more (or less) than the government yield, so you should reference required return rather than pretending there’s a one-for-one mapping.
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Step 3: Add the cash-flow channel (fundamentals, leverage, and refinancing)
Next, address how rates can change the business itself—this is the part many candidates miss. Higher rates can slow demand (hurting revenue growth), raise interest expense for floating-rate debt, and make refinancing more expensive. Those effects can lower earnings/FCF, which can further pressure equity value.
Tie it back to multiples: even if the multiple stayed constant, lower earnings would reduce price; but markets often also de-rate the multiple when growth visibility drops or leverage risk rises.
Qualify by company type: firms with strong pricing power and low leverage may see less fundamental damage; banks and insurers can behave differently because net interest margins can improve with rising rates (at least initially), which can offset some multiple pressure. The goal is to show you can discuss the interest rates impact on valuation beyond a single sentence.
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Step 4: Connect to comps and market practice (how multiples actually move)
Bring it back to day-to-day banking work: observed multiples are set by public market comparables and recent transactions, which embed investor expectations about rates, growth, and risk.
Explain that when rates rise, the market often rotates toward nearer-term cash flows and higher “quality,” and it may pay lower EV/Revenue or P/E for long-duration growth. Cyclicals may also de-rate if investors expect a slowdown.
Offer a practical interview-friendly line: “In comps, you’ll usually see sector-level multiple compression in rising-rate regimes, but the magnitude depends on duration, leverage, and how rates affect end-demand.” This shows you know how to discuss interest rates in investment banking interviews in a way that maps to comps/precedents rather than only to theory.
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Step 5: Close with a quick sanity check and a mini example
End with a simple numerical or verbal example to prove you can operationalise the logic. For instance: “If WACC increases by 100 bps, the present value of long-dated cash flows drops materially, so EV/EBITDA implied by a DCF typically falls—especially if terminal value is a large share of EV.”
Add a sanity check: if you see multiples expanding while rates rise, what could explain it? Possible answers: earnings revisions up (numerator effect dominates), risk premium/spreads tightening, inflation passing through to nominal growth, or sector-specific tailwinds.
This closure turns the “valuation multiples and interest rates relationship explained” into a complete, interview-ready response: direction → drivers → nuance → example → checks.
Model Answer for This Valuation Multiples Interview Question
Higher interest rates generally compress valuation multiples, and lower rates tend to expand them, because the required return used to discount future cash flows increases.
Mechanically, in a DCF the risk-free rate feeds into the cost of equity, and higher base rates usually increase the cost of debt as well, so WACC often rises. A higher WACC reduces the present value of the forecast period and, importantly, it reduces terminal value even more because terminal value is long-duration. That’s why long-growth businesses that have more value in later years typically see a bigger drop in EV/Revenue or P/E when rates rise.
There’s also a fundamentals channel: higher rates can slow demand, increase interest expense for leveraged companies, and make refinancing more expensive. Those factors can reduce earnings and free cash flow, which can reinforce multiple compression if investors also become more risk-averse.
In practice, public comps embed these expectations. In a rising-rate environment you often see sector multiples move down, but the magnitude depends on duration, leverage, and how rates affect the business model—financials can behave differently if net interest margins improve.
As a quick sanity check: if rates move up but a company’s multiple doesn’t fall, it’s usually because cash flow expectations are being revised upward, spreads or risk premia are tightening, or there’s a sector tailwind offsetting the higher discount rate.
- Start with the one-line direction (rates up → multiples down), then explain the “why.”
- Name-check DCF and WACC to anchor the answer in valuation mechanics.
- Separate discount-rate effects from cash-flow effects; interviewers listen for this structure.
- Add one nuance (duration/sector/leverage) so it doesn’t sound memorised.
- Finish with a sanity check so you can handle follow-ups confidently.
Common Pitfalls in Investment Banking Technical Questions
- Saying “rates up means multiples down” with no link to DCF/WACC mechanics or discounting intuition.
- Treating interest rates as the only driver and ignoring changes in equity risk premium, credit spreads, or growth expectations.
- Forgetting the cash-flow channel—rates can hit demand, margins, and interest expense, not just the discount rate.
- Overgeneralising across sectors (e.g., ignoring why financials or defensives may react differently).
- Mixing up nominal and real effects (e.g., missing that inflation can boost nominal growth while discount rates rise).
- Giving a long macro monologue that never ties back to observable comps and what bankers actually use in valuation work.
Follow-Ups on DCF, WACC, and Multiples Sensitivity
In a DCF, which part is most sensitive to interest rates?
Usually terminal value, because it represents long-dated cash flows; a higher WACC can reduce terminal value disproportionately versus the explicit forecast period.
How would rising rates affect EV/EBITDA vs P/E?
Both can compress via a higher required return, but P/E is also influenced by changes in interest expense and net income; leverage and capital structure can create bigger differences in P/E moves.
Why do high-growth companies often de-rate more when rates rise?
They’re “long duration” equities—more of their value is in later-year cash flows, which get hit harder by a higher discount rate.
How do you reflect a rate move when using trading comps?
You don’t adjust a multiple mechanically; you ensure comps and the valuation date reflect the new market regime, and you sanity-check implied multiples versus current sector trading ranges.
What could cause multiples to rise even if interest rates increase?
If earnings/FCF expectations are revised up enough to offset the higher discount rate, or if risk premia/spreads tighten, or if inflation-driven nominal growth and pricing power dominate.
How to Practise This in Investment Banking Interview Prep
- Practise a 60–90 second version: headline direction → WACC/DCF channel → cash-flow channel → one nuance.
- Use one “duration” sentence every time (terminal value sensitivity) to keep the answer anchored in valuation.
- Build a mini example you can say out loud (e.g., “+100 bps WACC compresses terminal value and implied EV/EBITDA”).
- Drill follow-ups by switching sectors (software vs industrials vs banks) to show judgement.
- On AceTheRound, rehearse this as a timed prompt and ask for feedback on structure, precision, and whether you clearly separated discount-rate vs fundamentals effects.
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